Report on the statistical trends Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2000 words

Report on the statistical trends - Essay Example Bibliography 13 7. Appendix 14 MA7414 Mortality 1. Introduction: 193 United Nations member states and over 23 international organizations have been and continue to work on the Millennium Development Goals campaign since the year 2000. The campaigns are to achieve eight international development goals by the year 2015. The eight goals range from eradicating extreme poverty to improving child health and halting the spread of HIV/AIDS. The Millennium Summit of the United Nations had set the target for MDGs as the reduction of the under-five mortality rate by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015. ( 1 )This research project evaluates the impact of the recent economic crisis whose impact was felt all world over, on the successful implementation of the MDG-4, reduction of child mortality, among the six WHO regions, and the global index on the same. In addition, two countries from the African region, Mali and Niger, have been picked and progress in there assessed too. Of great importance are the overall trends in successful implementation of this MDG value, and any possible shift in trend since the on-set of the economic turmoil. Infant mortality rate and the under-five mortality rate data obtained from the WHO have been used for trend analysis. Following the turmoil, it is estimated that the emphasis laid on the reduction of child mortality has reduced globally as emphasis shifts to other urgent and more immediate threats. Understandably, the implementation of the MDGs has to go hand in hand with the management of emerging roles. The impact of the threat of shifting emphasis forms the basis of this investigation. 1.1 Source of Data The infant mortality rate is the probability of a child born alive to die within 1 year of their birth, and under-five mortality rate is the probability of a child dying by age 5 per 1000 live births which is a measurement of child survival. The mortality data is published by the world health organization and the tables give the under-five mort ality rate of a given year and region.[3] The regions include Africa(AFR) , Americas(AMR), South-East Asia (SEAR), Europe(EUR), Eastern Mediterranean(EMR), and Western Pacific(WPR). The global values have also been provided. 2.1 The statistical trend of infant mortality within the WHO region: Figure 1 the line of infant mortality rate among the WHO regions Figure 1 shows the downward trend of mortality rate for infants ( per 1,000 live births) between 1990 and 2011 in six different regions. In general, the mortality rate for each region has a downward trend. Globally, the death rate for children under one has decreased by 40 per cent over the study period, from 61 to 37 deaths per 1,000 births. Three WHO regions have higher infant rates than the global rate, and they are thus the main focus of the MGDs. These regions are Africa (AFR), South-East Asia (SEAR) and Eastern Mediterranean (EMR). In the regions with high level death rate for infants ( above the global infant mortality rate ), South-East Asia and Eastern Mediterranean have seen reductions of about 40 per cent and followed a similar trend over the period. Meanwhile, the number of children in South-East Asia who died before they could reach age one dropped from 77 to 42 deaths per 1,000 live births between 1990 and 2011. In addition, the highest mortality rate of infants is found in Africa, where, above one in ten infants died before their first